Assembly constituency 15 · reserved ST
Lailunga
MLA
Vidyawati Sidar
INC · open profile ›
2023 vote share
48.2%
margin 2.38 points
Runner-up
Suniti Satyanand Rathiya
BJP
Development health
76
+1.7 this quarter · sample
Development scorecard sample — district figures overall 77%
| Agriculture & livelihood | 59% |
| Education | 63% |
| Health | 88% |
| Water | 92% |
| Sanitation | 88% |
| Power | 95% |
| Housing | 74% |
| Digital connectivity | 65% |
| Online services | 68% |
Political pulse modelled — 2023 result is actual all 90 seats → · booths and workers →
Win chance for BJP
53%
Toss-up · confidence 0.41
Modelled vote share
45.8%
opposition 44.1% · -0.1 against 2023
Undecided voters
27.2%
net sentiment +5
Polarisation
33
Fluid
Who is with the government
| Core support | 25.4% |
| Leaning to government | 13.2% |
| Undecided | 27.2% |
| Leaning to opposition | 11.7% |
| Core opposition | 22.5% |
What drives the projection
- Undecided voters 27%helps
- Member's delivery score 70hurts
- 2023 margin 2.4 points (lost)hurts
- Net sentiment +5helps
Fault lines
hardened partisan blocs after a knife-edge 2023 result; young jobseekers versus older welfare recipients; connected towns versus unconnected villages.
What citizens raise most
- Ayushman card2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Public Health & Family Welfare
- Drinking water2 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Public Health Engineering
- Schools2 grievances · 1 past the time limit · School Education
- Certificates2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Revenue & Disaster Management
- Forest rights2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Tribal, OBC & Minority Development
Member's standing from delivery
| Delivery | 76 | |
| Momentum | 64 | |
| Grievance response | 83 | |
| Mandate | 57 |
In this area Raigarh district · sample records
Open grievances
- Public Health & Family Welfare · 2 days, 12 hours ago
- Urban Administration & Development · 4 days, 6 hours ago
- School Education · 1 week, 4 days ago
- Home (Police) & Jail · 2 weeks, 6 days ago
- Panchayat & Rural Development · 1 month, 2 weeks ago · past time limit
Projects and alerts
- On track 12%
- Serious
Actions assigned
- No actions assigned here yet.
Related
Simulated demo data — district figures are modelled for demonstration; election results, portfolios, schemes and budget size are from public sources. Admin