Assembly constituency 24 · reserved ST
Marwahi
MLA
Pranav Kumar Marpachi
BJP — CM's party · open profile ›
2023 vote share
33.35%
margin 7.75 points
Runner-up
Gulab Raj
JCC
Development health
59
+0.9 this quarter · sample
Development scorecard sample — district figures overall 62%
| Agriculture & livelihood | 49% |
| Education | 38% |
| Health | 81% |
| Water | 72% |
| Sanitation | 77% |
| Power | 92% |
| Housing | 50% |
| Digital connectivity | 47% |
| Online services | 48% |
Political pulse modelled — 2023 result is actual all 90 seats → · booths and workers →
Win chance for BJP
29%
Likely loss · confidence 0.31
Modelled vote share
38.3%
opposition 50.4% · +5.0 against 2023
Undecided voters
29.8%
net sentiment -4
Polarisation
28
Fluid
Who is with the government
| Core support | 18.2% |
| Leaning to government | 9.1% |
| Undecided | 29.8% |
| Leaning to opposition | 14.9% |
| Core opposition | 28.1% |
What drives the projection
- Undecided voters 30%helps
- Member's delivery score 72helps
- 2023 margin 7.8 points (held)helps
- Net sentiment -4hurts
Fault lines
connected towns versus unconnected villages.
What citizens raise most
- Women's safety1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Home (Police) & Jail
Member's standing from delivery
| Delivery | 59 | |
| Momentum | 57 | |
| Grievance response | 100 | |
| Mandate | 73 |
In this area Gaurela-Pendra-Marwahi district · sample records
Open grievances
- None open.
Projects and alerts
- Nothing recorded.
Actions assigned
- No actions assigned here yet.
Related
Simulated demo data — district figures are modelled for demonstration; election results, portfolios, schemes and budget size are from public sources. Admin