Assembly constituency 5
Bhatgaon
MLA
Laxmi Rajwade
BJP — CM's party · open profile ›
2023 vote share
54.06%
margin 22.6 points
Runner-up
Paras Nath Rajwade
INC
Development health
70
-2.0 this quarter · sample
Development scorecard sample — district figures overall 65%
| Agriculture & livelihood | 54% |
| Education | 41% |
| Health | 88% |
| Water | 83% |
| Sanitation | 79% |
| Power | 92% |
| Housing | 63% |
| Digital connectivity | 46% |
| Online services | 40% |
Political pulse modelled — 2023 result is actual all 90 seats → · booths and workers →
Win chance for BJP
85%
Likely · confidence 0.37
Modelled vote share
54.7%
opposition 35.6% · +0.6 against 2023
Undecided voters
25.8%
net sentiment -1
Polarisation
35
Fluid
Who is with the government
| Core support | 29.7% |
| Leaning to government | 15.0% |
| Undecided | 25.8% |
| Leaning to opposition | 10.2% |
| Core opposition | 19.4% |
What drives the projection
- 2023 margin 22.6 points (held)helps
- Member's delivery score 76helps
- Undecided voters 26%helps
- Net sentiment -1hurts
Fault lines
connected towns versus unconnected villages; households in poverty versus the newly better-off.
What citizens raise most
- Solid waste2 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Urban Administration & Development
- Human-wildlife conflict2 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Forest & Climate Change
- Paddy procurement1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Food, Civil Supplies & Consumer Protection
- Drainage1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Urban Administration & Development
- Schools1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · School Education
Member's standing from delivery
| Delivery | 70 | |
| Momentum | 34 | |
| Grievance response | 100 | |
| Mandate | 100 |
In this area Surajpur district · sample records
Open grievances
- Food, Civil Supplies & Consumer Protection · 15 hours, 23 minutes ago
- Urban Administration & Development · 3 days, 14 hours ago
- School Education · 5 days, 2 hours ago
- Urban Administration & Development · 1 week, 5 days ago
- Forest & Climate Change · 1 month ago · past time limit
- Urban Administration & Development · 2 months, 1 week ago · past time limit
Projects and alerts
- Serious
Actions assigned
-
In progress Collector & District Magistrate, Surajpur · due 6 Oct
Related
Simulated demo data — district figures are modelled for demonstration; election results, portfolios, schemes and budget size are from public sources. Admin