Flag of IndiaState Emblem of IndiaEmblem of ChhattisgarhCM Smart Control TowerGovernment of Chhattisgarh 14 to decide
Assembly constituency 62

Patan

MLA
Bhupesh Baghel
INC · open profile ›
2023 vote share
51.91%
margin 10.73 points
Runner-up
Vijay Baghel
BJP
Development health
87
+0.5 this quarter · sample

Development scorecard sample — district figures overall 86%

Agriculture & livelihood
69%
Education
63%
Health
91%
Water
100%
Sanitation
98%
Power
99%
Housing
86%
Digital connectivity
88%
Online services
79%

Political pulse modelled — 2023 result is actual all 90 seats → · booths and workers →

Win chance for BJP
44%
Leaning away · confidence 0.41
Modelled vote share
43.3%
opposition 46.6% · +2.1 against 2023
Undecided voters
27.8%
net sentiment +16
Polarisation
32
Fluid

Who is with the government

Core support23.4%
Leaning to government12.7%
Undecided27.8%
Leaning to opposition12.1%
Core opposition24.0%

What drives the projection

  • Member's delivery score 81
    hurts
  • Undecided voters 28%
    helps
  • 2023 margin 10.7 points (lost)
    hurts
  • Net sentiment +16
    helps

Fault lines

young jobseekers versus older welfare recipients.

What citizens raise most

  • Mahtari Vandan2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Women & Child Development
  • Property tax2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Urban Administration & Development
  • Hospital services1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Public Health & Family Welfare
  • Certificates1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Revenue & Disaster Management
  • Electricity1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Energy

Member's standing from delivery

Delivery
87
Momentum
54
Grievance response
100
Mandate
82

In this area Durg district · sample records

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Simulated demo data — district figures are modelled for demonstration; election results, portfolios, schemes and budget size are from public sources. Admin

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