Assembly constituency 78
Mohla-Manpur
MLA
Indrashah Mandavi
INC · open profile ›
2023 vote share
57.79%
margin 23.68 points
Runner-up
Sanjeev Shah
BJP
Development health
59
+4.8 this quarter · sample
Development scorecard sample — district figures overall 55%
| Agriculture & livelihood | 40% |
| Education | 32% |
| Health | 78% |
| Water | 74% |
| Sanitation | 67% |
| Power | 91% |
| Housing | 46% |
| Digital connectivity | 39% |
| Online services | 31% |
Political pulse modelled — 2023 result is actual all 90 seats → · booths and workers →
Win chance for BJP
10%
Safe loss · confidence 0.35
Modelled vote share
33.1%
opposition 55.2% · -1.0 against 2023
Undecided voters
29.8%
net sentiment -11
Polarisation
28
Fluid
Who is with the government
| Core support | 18.2% |
| Leaning to government | 8.8% |
| Undecided | 29.8% |
| Leaning to opposition | 15.1% |
| Core opposition | 28.1% |
What drives the projection
- 2023 margin 23.7 points (lost)hurts
- Undecided voters 30%helps
- Member's delivery score 74hurts
- Net sentiment -11hurts
Fault lines
connected towns versus unconnected villages; households in poverty versus the newly better-off.
What citizens raise most
- MGNREGA2 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Panchayat & Rural Development
- Paddy procurement1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Food, Civil Supplies & Consumer Protection
- Human-wildlife conflict1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Forest & Climate Change
- Drinking water1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Public Health Engineering
- Women's safety1 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Home (Police) & Jail
Member's standing from delivery
| Delivery | 59 | |
| Momentum | 88 | |
| Grievance response | 50 | |
| Mandate | 100 |
In this area Mohla-Manpur-Ambagarh Chowki district · sample records
Open grievances
- Panchayat & Rural Development · 1 week, 4 days ago
- Food, Civil Supplies & Consumer Protection · 2 weeks, 4 days ago
- Panchayat & Rural Development · 1 month, 1 week ago · past time limit
- Food, Civil Supplies & Consumer Protection · 1 month, 3 weeks ago · past time limit
Projects and alerts
- Serious
Actions assigned
- No actions assigned here yet.
Simulated demo data — district figures are modelled for demonstration; election results, portfolios, schemes and budget size are from public sources. Admin