Assembly constituency 85 · reserved ST
Bastar
MLA
Lakheshwar Baghel
INC · open profile ›
2023 vote share
47.92%
margin 4.51 points
Runner-up
Maniram Kashyap
BJP
Development health
56
+2.4 this quarter · sample
Development scorecard sample — district figures overall 62%
| Agriculture & livelihood | 42% |
| Education | 42% |
| Health | 81% |
| Water | 72% |
| Sanitation | 77% |
| Power | 90% |
| Housing | 44% |
| Digital connectivity | 58% |
| Online services | 51% |
Political pulse modelled — 2023 result is actual all 90 seats → · booths and workers →
Win chance for BJP
39%
Leaning away · confidence 0.37
Modelled vote share
41.7%
opposition 47.5% · -1.7 against 2023
Undecided voters
27.9%
net sentiment -7
Polarisation
32
Fluid
Who is with the government
| Core support | 23.5% |
| Leaning to government | 11.7% |
| Undecided | 27.9% |
| Leaning to opposition | 12.8% |
| Core opposition | 24.1% |
What drives the projection
- Undecided voters 28%helps
- Member's delivery score 69hurts
- 2023 margin 4.5 points (lost)hurts
- Net sentiment -7hurts
Fault lines
hardened partisan blocs after a knife-edge 2023 result; young jobseekers versus older welfare recipients; connected towns versus unconnected villages; households in poverty versus the newly better-off.
What citizens raise most
- Human-wildlife conflict4 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Forest & Climate Change
- Scholarship2 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Tribal, OBC & Minority Development
- Police1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Home (Police) & Jail
- Forest rights1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Tribal, OBC & Minority Development
- Paddy procurement1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Food, Civil Supplies & Consumer Protection
Member's standing from delivery
| Delivery | 56 | |
| Momentum | 69 | |
| Grievance response | 86 | |
| Mandate | 64 |
In this area Bastar district · sample records
Open grievances
- Home (Police) & Jail · 14 hours, 11 minutes ago
- Forest & Climate Change · 1 week ago
- Tribal, OBC & Minority Development · 4 weeks ago
- Forest & Climate Change · 1 month, 2 weeks ago · past time limit
- Urban Administration & Development · 2 months ago · past time limit
Projects and alerts
- On track 64%
- On track 45%
Actions assigned
- No actions assigned here yet.
Related
Simulated demo data — district figures are modelled for demonstration; election results, portfolios, schemes and budget size are from public sources. Admin