Assembly constituency 89 · reserved ST
Bijapur
MLA
Vikram Mandavi
INC · open profile ›
2023 vote share
43.84%
margin 3.32 points
Runner-up
Mahesh Gagda
BJP
Development health
42
+1.9 this quarter · sample
Development scorecard sample — district figures overall 44%
| Agriculture & livelihood | 30% |
| Education | 18% |
| Health | 72% |
| Water | 62% |
| Sanitation | 49% |
| Power | 84% |
| Housing | 20% |
| Digital connectivity | 35% |
| Online services | 27% |
Political pulse modelled — 2023 result is actual all 90 seats → · booths and workers →
Win chance for BJP
29%
Likely loss · confidence 0.32
Modelled vote share
38.3%
opposition 50.3% · -2.2 against 2023
Undecided voters
28.6%
net sentiment -13
Polarisation
30
Fluid
Who is with the government
| Core support | 21.6% |
| Leaning to government | 10.4% |
| Undecided | 28.6% |
| Leaning to opposition | 13.8% |
| Core opposition | 25.5% |
What drives the projection
- Undecided voters 29%helps
- Member's delivery score 67hurts
- Net sentiment -13hurts
- 2023 margin 3.3 points (lost)hurts
Fault lines
hardened partisan blocs after a knife-edge 2023 result; households in poverty versus the newly better-off.
What citizens raise most
- Forest rights3 grievances · 2 past the time limit · Tribal, OBC & Minority Development
Member's standing from delivery
| Delivery | 42 | |
| Momentum | 65 | |
| Grievance response | 100 | |
| Mandate | 60 |
In this area Bijapur district · sample records
Open grievances
- Tribal, OBC & Minority Development · 1 month, 3 weeks ago · past time limit
- Tribal, OBC & Minority Development · 1 month, 3 weeks ago · past time limit
Projects and alerts
- At risk 41%
- Serious
Actions assigned
-
Issued Collector & District Magistrate, Bijapur · due 1 Oct
Simulated demo data — district figures are modelled for demonstration; election results, portfolios, schemes and budget size are from public sources. Admin