Assembly constituency 1 · reserved ST
Bharatpur-Sonhat
MLA
Renuka Singh
BJP — CM's party · open profile ›
2023 vote share
37.54%
margin 3.31 points
Runner-up
Gulab Kamro
INC
Development health
66
+3.8 this quarter · sample
Development scorecard sample — district figures overall 69%
| Agriculture & livelihood | 50% |
| Education | 45% |
| Health | 89% |
| Water | 84% |
| Sanitation | 82% |
| Power | 94% |
| Housing | 74% |
| Digital connectivity | 51% |
| Online services | 53% |
Political pulse modelled — 2023 result is actual all 90 seats → · booths and workers →
Win chance for BJP
30%
Likely loss · confidence 0.33
Modelled vote share
38.5%
opposition 50.0% · +1.0 against 2023
Undecided voters
29.2%
net sentiment -13
Polarisation
30
Fluid
Who is with the government
| Core support | 20.0% |
| Leaning to government | 9.6% |
| Undecided | 29.2% |
| Leaning to opposition | 14.4% |
| Core opposition | 26.8% |
What drives the projection
- Undecided voters 29%helps
- Member's delivery score 60helps
- Net sentiment -13hurts
- 2023 margin 3.3 points (held)helps
Fault lines
hardened partisan blocs after a knife-edge 2023 result; connected towns versus unconnected villages.
What citizens raise most
- Street lights1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Urban Administration & Development
- Drinking water1 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Public Health Engineering
- Solid waste1 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Urban Administration & Development
- Ayushman card1 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Public Health & Family Welfare
- Hospital services1 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Public Health & Family Welfare
Member's standing from delivery
| Delivery | 66 | |
| Momentum | 80 | |
| Grievance response | 33 | |
| Mandate | 60 |
In this area Manendragarh-Chirmiri-Bharatpur district · sample records
Open grievances
- Urban Administration & Development · 3 days, 9 hours ago
- Public Health & Family Welfare · 2 months, 1 week ago · past time limit
Projects and alerts
- Nothing recorded.
Actions assigned
- No actions assigned here yet.
Related
Simulated demo data — district figures are modelled for demonstration; election results, portfolios, schemes and budget size are from public sources. Admin