Assembly constituency 22

Katghora

2023 vote share

45.19%

margin 10.36 points

Runner-up

Purushottam Kanwar

INC

Development health

+3.4 this quarter · sample

Development scorecard sample — district figures overall 74%

Agriculture & livelihood	56%
Education	60%
Health	88%
Water	81%
Sanitation	80%
Power	96%
Housing	79%
Digital connectivity	69%
Online services	60%

Political pulse modelled — 2023 result is actual all 90 seats → · booths and workers →

Win chance for BJP

75%

Likely · confidence 0.41

Modelled vote share

51.7%

opposition 38.5% · +6.6 against 2023

Undecided voters

27.1%

net sentiment +15

Polarisation

Fluid

Who is with the government

Core support	25.6%
Leaning to government	13.7%
Undecided	27.1%
Leaning to opposition	11.3%
Core opposition	22.4%

What drives the projection

Member's delivery score 84
helps
Undecided voters 27%
helps
2023 margin 10.4 points (held)
helps
Net sentiment +15
helps

What citizens raise most

Police2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Home (Police) & Jail
Forest rights2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Tribal, OBC & Minority Development
PM Awas2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Panchayat & Rural Development
Cyber fraud2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Home (Police) & Jail
Electricity2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Energy

Member's standing from delivery

Delivery		78
Momentum		77
Grievance response		100
Mandate		81

In this area Korba district · sample records

Open grievances

FIR not registered
Home (Police) & Jail · 1 week, 1 day ago
Harassment near school gate
Home (Police) & Jail · 2 weeks, 5 days ago
Post-matric scholarship not credited
Tribal, OBC & Minority Development · 3 weeks ago
PM Awas second instalment pending
Panchayat & Rural Development · 4 weeks ago
FIR not registered
Home (Police) & Jail · 1 month ago
Single-window approval stuck
Commerce & Industry · 1 month, 1 week ago

Projects and alerts

Korba super-critical thermal units (2×660 MW)
On track 18%
Door-to-door collection disrupted — contractor strike
Watch

Actions assigned

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↑ Korba district Lok Sabha seat: Korba — Jyotsna Charandas Mahant Rampur — Phool Singh Rathiya (INC)Korba — Lakhan Lal Dewangan (BJP)Pali-Tanakhar — Tuleshwar Markam (GGP)

Simulated demo data — district figures are modelled for demonstration; election results, portfolios, schemes and budget size are from public sources. Admin