Assembly constituency 21

Korba

2023 vote share

53.74%

margin 14.97 points

Runner-up

Jai Singh Agrawal

INC

Development health

-1.8 this quarter · sample

Development scorecard sample — district figures overall 74%

Agriculture & livelihood	56%
Education	60%
Health	88%
Water	81%
Sanitation	80%
Power	96%
Housing	79%
Digital connectivity	69%
Online services	60%

Political pulse modelled — 2023 result is actual all 90 seats → · booths and workers →

Win chance for BJP

87%

Safe · confidence 0.41

Modelled vote share

54.8%

opposition 35.4% · +1.1 against 2023

Undecided voters

25.8%

net sentiment +1

Polarisation

Fluid

Who is with the government

Core support	29.6%
Leaning to government	15.1%
Undecided	25.8%
Leaning to opposition	10.1%
Core opposition	19.4%

What drives the projection

2023 margin 15.0 points (held)
helps
Member's delivery score 76
helps
Undecided voters 26%
helps
Net sentiment +1
helps

What citizens raise most

Police2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Home (Police) & Jail
Forest rights2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Tribal, OBC & Minority Development
PM Awas2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Panchayat & Rural Development
Cyber fraud2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Home (Police) & Jail
Electricity2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Energy

Member's standing from delivery

Delivery		73
Momentum		36
Grievance response		100
Mandate		95

In this area Korba district · sample records

Open grievances

FIR not registered
Home (Police) & Jail · 1 week, 1 day ago
Harassment near school gate
Home (Police) & Jail · 2 weeks, 5 days ago
Post-matric scholarship not credited
Tribal, OBC & Minority Development · 3 weeks ago
PM Awas second instalment pending
Panchayat & Rural Development · 4 weeks ago
FIR not registered
Home (Police) & Jail · 1 month ago
Single-window approval stuck
Commerce & Industry · 1 month, 1 week ago

Projects and alerts

Korba super-critical thermal units (2×660 MW)
On track 18%
Door-to-door collection disrupted — contractor strike
Watch

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↑ Korba district Lok Sabha seat: Korba — Jyotsna Charandas Mahant Rampur — Phool Singh Rathiya (INC)Katghora — Premchand Patel (BJP)Pali-Tanakhar — Tuleshwar Markam (GGP)

Simulated demo data — district figures are modelled for demonstration; election results, portfolios, schemes and budget size are from public sources. Admin