Assembly constituency 52

Arang

2023 vote share

52.59%

margin 9.25 points

Runner-up

Dr. Shivkumar Dahariya

INC

Development health

-1.5 this quarter · sample

Development scorecard sample — district figures overall 92%

Agriculture & livelihood	95%
Education	66%
Health	93%
Water	97%
Sanitation	98%
Power	100%
Housing	100%
Digital connectivity	92%
Online services	83%

Political pulse modelled — 2023 result is actual all 90 seats → · booths and workers →

Win chance for BJP

96%

Safe · confidence 0.46

Modelled vote share

57.1%

opposition 33.6% · +4.5 against 2023

Undecided voters

25.6%

net sentiment +17

Polarisation

Fluid

Who is with the government

Core support	29.7%
Leaning to government	15.9%
Undecided	25.6%
Leaning to opposition	9.5%
Core opposition	19.2%

What drives the projection

Member's delivery score 78
helps
Undecided voters 26%
helps
2023 margin 9.2 points (held)
helps
Net sentiment +17
helps

What citizens raise most

Drinking water3 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Public Health Engineering
PM Awas3 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Panchayat & Rural Development
Property tax3 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Urban Administration & Development
Cyber fraud2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Home (Police) & Jail
Land records2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Revenue & Disaster Management

Member's standing from delivery

Delivery		95
Momentum		38
Grievance response		100
Mandate		78

In this area Raipur district · sample records

Open grievances

Tap connection installed but no water
Public Health Engineering · 1 day, 19 hours ago
Post-matric scholarship not credited
Tribal, OBC & Minority Development · 3 days, 12 hours ago
Money lost in online fraud
Home (Police) & Jail · 2 weeks, 5 days ago
Frequent power cuts and low voltage
Energy · 3 weeks ago
Wrong property tax assessment
Urban Administration & Development · 3 weeks ago · past time limit
Tap connection installed but no water
Public Health Engineering · 1 month ago · past time limit

Projects and alerts

Nava Raipur AI Data Centre Park
On track 38%
Semiconductor fabrication unit, Nava Raipur
On track 30%
Legacy-waste remediation, Raipur (Sarona)
On track 77%
Legacy dump fire at Sarona
Serious
Cyber fraud ring — 'digital arrest' complaints spike
Serious

Actions assigned

Put out and remediate the Sarona dump fire

Completed Collector & District Magistrate, Raipur · due 3 Oct
Staff the cyber-fraud helpline round the clock

In progress Superintendent of Police, Raipur · due 29 Sep

↑ Raipur district Lok Sabha seat: Raipur — Brijmohan Agrawal Dharsiwa — Anuj Sharma (BJP)Raipur City Gramin — Motilal Sahu (BJP)Raipur City West — Rajesh Munat (BJP)Raipur City North — Purandar Mishra (BJP)Raipur City South — Sunil Kumar Soni (BJP)Abhanpur — Indra Kumar Sahu (BJP)

Simulated demo data — district figures are modelled for demonstration; election results, portfolios, schemes and budget size are from public sources. Admin