Assembly constituency 51
Raipur City South
MLA
Sunil Kumar Soni
BJP — CM's party · open profile ›
2023 vote share
69.48%
margin 43.06 points
Runner-up
Mahant Ramsundar Das
INC
Development health
97
+2.5 this quarter · sample
By-election, November 2024 (seat vacated by Brijmohan Agrawal on election to the Lok Sabha)
Development scorecard sample — district figures overall 92%
| Agriculture & livelihood | 95% |
| Education | 66% |
| Health | 93% |
| Water | 97% |
| Sanitation | 98% |
| Power | 100% |
| Housing | 100% |
| Digital connectivity | 92% |
| Online services | 83% |
Political pulse modelled — 2023 result is actual all 90 seats → · booths and workers →
Win chance for BJP
99%
Safe · confidence 0.46
Modelled vote share
72.8%
opposition 19.7% · +3.3 against 2023
Undecided voters
22.2%
net sentiment +26
Polarisation
41
Fluid
Who is with the government
| Core support | 39.5% |
| Leaning to government | 21.4% |
| Undecided | 22.2% |
| Leaning to opposition | 5.3% |
| Core opposition | 11.7% |
What drives the projection
- 2023 margin 43.1 points (held)helps
- Member's delivery score 92helps
- Undecided voters 22%helps
- Net sentiment +26helps
What citizens raise most
- Drinking water3 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Public Health Engineering
- PM Awas3 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Panchayat & Rural Development
- Property tax3 grievances · 1 past the time limit · Urban Administration & Development
- Cyber fraud2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Home (Police) & Jail
- Land records2 grievances · 0 past the time limit · Revenue & Disaster Management
Member's standing from delivery
| Delivery | 97 | |
| Momentum | 70 | |
| Grievance response | 100 | |
| Mandate | 100 |
In this area Raipur district · sample records
Open grievances
- Public Health Engineering · 1 day, 19 hours ago
- Tribal, OBC & Minority Development · 3 days, 12 hours ago
- Home (Police) & Jail · 2 weeks, 5 days ago
- Energy · 3 weeks ago
- Urban Administration & Development · 3 weeks ago · past time limit
- Public Health Engineering · 1 month ago · past time limit
Projects and alerts
- On track 38%
- On track 30%
- On track 77%
- Serious
- Serious
Actions assigned
-
Completed Collector & District Magistrate, Raipur · due 3 Oct
-
In progress Superintendent of Police, Raipur · due 29 Sep
Related
Simulated demo data — district figures are modelled for demonstration; election results, portfolios, schemes and budget size are from public sources. Admin